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Predicting
the future

Economies & markets

Our Chief Investment Office and experts share insights into our house view and macro trends.

Volatility, inflation and a trade war? What 2018’s bumpy start really means for investors

Following a bumpy start to the year, our CIO gives his expert view on what this - along with the threat of inflation and a potential trade war - means for investors. Read more here.

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Investment market update - Investing in equities - why we remain positive

At the start of this year we predicted 2018 to be bumpier than 2017, (which could scarcely have been smoother, with volatility measures at all-time lows during the year), and so it is proving. However, we also thought that the investment climate would still be favourable for risk assets like shares (or equities/stocks). We based this view on robust economic growth across the globe, a boost to earnings from US tax reform, rising corporate profits and the continuing gift from central banks of decent liquidity, even with quantitative tightening from the Federal Reserve, and very low, albeit slightly rising interest rates.

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Bitcoin – valid investment or criminally insane?

Bitcoin is the world’s most popular digital currency. Having drawn millions of investors across the world, its value rocketed to nearly US$20,000 at the end of 2017, although its value has since dropped dramatically to c.$7,000 (at the time of writing). So what is our view on bitcoin and is it a valid investment? Read more.

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ESG (environmental, social and governance) - doing well by doing good

There has been a significant growth and interest in investing on a responsible basis and the area is continually evolving. However, for investors, traditional ‘ethical’ investment solutions have tended to leave a limited choice of companies to invest in, compromising diversification and therefore investment risk/returns. ESG (environmental, social and governance) investing allows investors to take a proactive approach to investing responsibly but not at the expense of their risk/returns. 

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The ups and downs of UK equities

Since the start of 2018, UK equities have had a bumpy few months. We discuss the impact of geopolitical uncertainty with the likes of Brexit and Trump.

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Investment Market Update - Are trade wars and a US recession really on the cards?

Against this backdrop, Michel Perera, Chief Investment Officer provides an update.

Very little has fundamentally changed since the beginning of the year yet the markets are behaving as if we have moved to a different phase in the economic cycle. The reasons are simple: a potential trade war and concerns that we are nearing the end of one of the longest bull markets on record. These are both hampering confidence and the recent technical market correction (market fall) has spawned some fundamental worries.

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IMPORTANT: Investment involves risk. The value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up and you may not get back the amount originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

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